Track record
Every call I've closed that had a Skew grade on it, with what actually happened. Losers stay on the list. The sample is tiny right now, so please don't read much into it yet. I'll keep adding rows as trades close.
3 closed calls so far. I'll post a win rate once there are 30. Before that it would mostly be noise.
| TICKER | SIDE | GRADE | CALLED | CLOSED | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOG | Long | 90 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-07 | -9.8% |
| PRGS | Long | 80 | 2026-09-29 | 2026-09-29 | 0.0% |
| KR | Long | 59 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-09-13 | +2.7% |
Practice and real trades are mixed together here. Results are from entry to exit as logged, so they include my own timing, which the grade doesn't control.
How grades are made
The grade you see today comes from version v2.3-2026-10 of the rules. When the rules change, the version changes with it, and each ledger row keeps the version that graded it. Most of the 100 points go to how big the earnings move should be, because our backtest of about 24,000 S&P 500 reports found direction close to a coin flip.
The full point breakdown and the research behind it are on How Skew works.
Not financial advice. Grades can be wrong and the data can be late, so check before you trade. Terms